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Prediction markets
18 active markets
· category “Science”
How it works
How to trade
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$25K
Vol.
Aug 2
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
36 trading now
Precipitation in NYC in July?
4-5"
76%
5-6"
20%
4 more
$46K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$33
49 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
0
1%
Yes
No
1
67%
Yes
No
$29K
Vol.
Aug 3
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$38
48 trading now
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
66%
3rd hottest
24%
2 more
$134K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$38
42 trading now
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$125K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
Precipitation in Seattle in July?
<0.5"
97%
0.5-1"
5%
5 more
$7.0K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
43 trading now
Precipitation in London in July?
<30mm
99%
40-50mm
1%
5 more
$14K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
44 trading now
Precipitation in Seoul in July?
100mm+
99%
40-50mm
1%
6 more
$14K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.25–1.29ºC
38%
>1.29ºC
34%
4 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$67
30 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
October 31
50%
August 30
48%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
37 trading now
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
63%
1.15–1.19ºC
26%
4 more
$52K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$40
48 trading now
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?
5000+
99%
2500+
99%
5 more
$40K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
38 trading now
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